Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 40/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 50/1
Additions: G Seth Curry, C Boban Marjanovic
Losses: F Dirk Nowitzki, F Kostas Antetokounmpo
Draft picks: F Isaiah Roby
Retained free agents: F Kristaps Porzingis, F Maxi Kleber, G JJ Barea
Remaining free agents: G Devin Harris, C Salah Mejri, G Trey Burke
Analysis: The Mavs were going to acquire Luka Doncic’s buddy, fellow Slovenian Goran Dragic, before they decided cap flexibility appealed to them more as their deal to help facilitate the Heat’s acquisition of Jimmy Butler. Not included above is the extension of Dwight Powell, who should see a lot of time in the lineup next to Porzingis and potentially Kleber. Being able to finally throw Porzingis out on to the floor after being cautious in keeping him out the last few weeks of this past season despite his itch to return makes the beginning of the season crucial for Dallas. Curry should find consistent minutes in Rick Carlisle’s rotation behind Doncic and Tim Hardaway, Jr., but it remains to be seen which vet, Harris or Barea, doesn’t return. Jalen Brunson’s emergence makes it unlikely both will be back.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 16/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/6): 14/1
Additions: Jerami Grant
Losses: G Isaiah Thomas
Draft picks: F Michael Porter, Jr. (’18) F/C Bol Bol
Retained free agents: F Paul Millsap
Remaining free agents: F Tyler Lydon
Analysis: The Nuggets extended Jamal Murray, maxing him out post-rookie deal in the same manner they did Nikola Jokic last summer. Millsap is back on a $30 million expiring deal, so this coming season would be the ideal point for everything to come together given the chemistry this group developed in reaching the Western Conference semis in addition to the No. 2 seed. Porter, Jr. could be an x-factor, so It’s a shame he won’t play in Summer League due to a foot injury, but there’s a real chance he’ll be able to vastly improve the second unit. If Denver avoids complacency, it should again be in the running for homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs.
Golden State Warriors
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 12/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 12/1
Additions: G D’Angelo Russell, F/C Willie Cauley-Stein, F/G Glenn Robinson III, F Omari Spellman, F Julian Washburn
Losses: F Kevin Durant, G/F Andre Iguodala, F Jordan Bell, C Damian Jones, G Quinn Cook
Draft picks: F Eric Paschall, G/F Jordan Poole, F Alen Smailagic
Retained free agents: G Klay Thompson, F/C Kevon Looney
Remaining free agents: C Andrew Bogut, G Quinn Cook, F Jonas Jerebko
Analysis: With Thompson likely out until roughly the All-Star break, the Warriors will have to rely on Stephen Curry and Draymond Green to lead a team that will no longer be cast in the favorite’s role they’ve grown accustomed to night after night. Looney is the top free-agent bargain of the summer since he would’ve gotten more money if he wanted to go elsewhere, essentially sticking around at a discount. He’ll certainly play a huge role alongside Russell, who will be auditioning for the entire league considering he’ll be a free agent this time next season and may be on the trade block by the deadline depending how things shake out. Shaun Livingston will lead a bench that’s likely to be the most inexperienced group Steve Kerr has had to work with. Cauley-Stein adds another rim protector and pick-and-roll threat, but the reserves along the wing and at the point should be vulnerable.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 8/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 12/1
Additions: G Russell Westbrook, F/C Deyonta Davis
Losses: G Chris Paul
Draft picks: None
Retained free agents: G Austin Rivers, G/F Gerald Green, F Danuel House
Remaining free agents: G Iman Shumpert, C Nene, F Kenneth Faried
Analysis: Reuniting Westbrook and Harden is intriguing, but we’ll see if both ball-dominant guards can co-exist this deep into their careers.The Rockets still have the mid-level exception to add help, fortifying a roster that returns most key players from last season’s rotation. The Jimmy Butler dream never materialized and things must be smoothed over with Clint Capela, who suddenly has to deal with rumors he’s expendable despite being signed through 2023 since he’s the asset most likely to fetch an impact player in return.
Los Angeles Clippers
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 7/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 3/1
Additions: F Kawhi Leonard, F/G Paul George, F Mo Harkless
Losses: G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, F Danilo Gallinari, F Wilson Chandler, G Garrett Temple
Draft picks: De’Andre Hunter, Cam Reddish, Bruno Fernando
Retained free agents: C Ivica Zubac, G Patrick Beverley, G Rodney McGruder
Remaining free agents: F JaMychal Green, F Johnathan Motley
Analysis: Signing with the Clips allows Leonard to return to his native L.A. without having to share touches and the spotlight with LeBron James and Anthony Davis. The Clips adored Gilgeous-Alexander but had no choice but other than to get Leonard the running mate he coveted in order to agree to come on board, securing George by dealing their top prospect in addition to a substantial amount of future draft picks and swaps. Gallinari enjoyed a great final season in L.A. but was entering the last year of his deal and not a part of the future vision. Beverley re-signed and there’s plenty of depth already in place with Zubac and Green expected to return, joining Harkless in supplying frontcourt depth.
Los Angeles Lakers
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 3/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 5/1
Additions: F Anthony Davis, C DeMarcus Cousins, G Danny Green, G Avery Bradley, F Jared Dudley, G Quinn Cook, G Troy Daniels
Losses: G/F Brandon Ingram, G Lonzo Ball, G Josh Hart, C Tyson Chandler, G Reggie Bullock, F Mike Muscala, F Jemerrio Jones, C/F Moritz Wagner, Isaac Bonga
Draft picks: F Talen Horton-Tucker
Retained free agents: G Rajon Rondo, G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, C JaVale McGee, G Alex Caruso
Remaining free agents: C Tyson Chandler, G/F Lance Stephenson
Analysis: The Lakers were installed as the betting favorite upon securing Davis and will be in the mix even with Leonard passing on joining the team he grew up rooting for as a kid. It would have been a lot easier to compete for a championship after six straight seasons missing the playoffs if Leonard comes on board but there will still be plenty of talent in place now that their holding pattern has concluded and they can start filling out the roster. Cousins is reunited with Davis and Rondo and should be effective if healthy. Re-tooling of the bench has begun with Green and Dudley, intelligent glue guys, joining Daniels, an elite shooter, in signing on.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 100/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 300/1
Additions: G/F Andre Iguodala, G/F Josh Jackson, F Jae Crowder, G Tyus Jones, G Grayson Allen, F Solomon Hil C Miles Plumlee, G De’Anthony Melton
Losses: G Mike Conley, G Avery Bradley, G CJ Miles, G/F Chandler Parsons, G Kyle Korver, G Jevon Carter
Draft picks: G Ja Morant, F Brandon Clarke
Retained free agents: C Jonas Valanciunas
Remaining free agents: G Delon Wright, G Justin Holiday, C Joakim Noah, C Dwight Howard, C Tyler Zeller
Analysis: The Grizzlies continued their rebuilding efforts by shipping Conley to Utah and making smart, low-risk moves to improve their long-term financial viability. Dealing for Korver, then trading him, acquiring Howard, who will be waived, and cutting ties with Bradley also ensures that they won’t be too successful since the team needs to add another lottery pick to the mix while getting some of their young core additional seasoning. With Morant getting the keys to the kingdom and Jackson set to become the face of the franchise after a successful rookie season, there should be plenty of losses ahead, but also loads of improvement.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 200/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 300/1
Additions: C Jordan Bell, F Noah Vonleh, G Treveon Graham, F Jake Layman, G Shabazz Napier
Losses: F Dario Saric, G Derrick Rose, G Tyus Jones, F Taj Gibson, F Anthony Tolliver, F Luol Deng, G Cameron Reynolds
Draft picks: G/F Jarrett Culver, G Jaylen Nowell
Retained free agents: None
Remaining free agents: G Jerryd Bayless
Analysis: Having Andrew Wiggins on the books until 2023 appears to limit the Wolves’ ceiling unless he finally finds his ‘on’ switch and keeps it flipped for an entire season. With Karl-Anthony Towns in place as franchise anchor, new GM Gersson Rosas is looking to get him sufficient help and got a nice piece via the draft in Culver. Bell and Vonleh should find minutes up front with Gibson and Saric gone, but Robert Covington staying healthy will ultimately dictate whether the Wolves have enough to compete for a playoff spot. If he and point guard Jeff Teague struggle with injuries again, Minnesota isn’t deep enough to withstand their absence.
New Orleans Pelicans
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 60/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 100/1
Additions: F/G Brandon Ingram, G Lonzo Ball, F Derrick Favors, G Josh Hart, G J.J. Redick, F Nicolo Melli
Losses: F Anthony Davis, F/C Julius Randle, G Elfrid Payton, F Solomon Hill, F Stanley Johnson
Draft picks: F Zion Williamson, C Jaxson Hayes, G Nickeil Alexander-Walker, G Marcos Louzada Silva
Retained free agents: G/F Darius Miller, C Jahlil Okafor
Remaining free agents: F Cheick Diallo, G Ian Clark
Analysis: Moving on from Davis in addition to winning the Zion lottery means the first few months will be all about meshing the new influx of talent and making sure Williamson, Ingram and Ball all get comfortable with their roles alongside Jrue Holiday. There’s enough talent here to compete for a playoff berth if the pieces complement one another. The addition of two respected veterans in Favors and Redick were among the best additions made in free agency and David Griffin also had a really nice draft, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see immediate success despite all the moving parts.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 20/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 100/1
Additions: G Chris Paul, G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, F Danilo Gallinari, F Mike Muscala, G Alec Burks
Losses: G Russell Westbrook, F/G Paul George, F Jerami Grant, F Markieff Morris
Draft picks: F Darius Bazley
Retained free agents: C Nerlens Noel
Remaining free agents: G Raymond Felton
Analysis: The Thunder granted George his wish to leave for L.A. and picked up some flexibility in Gallinari’s expiring contract and the promising Gilgeous-Alexander, who turns just 21 on July 12. In also dealing Westbrook, the Thunder added a host of future picks that an excellent GM like Sam Presti can turn into nice pieces down the road. In the short-term, OKC is out of the playoff conversation in the loaded West, which means you can get used to hearing the names of Paul, Steven Adams and Dennis Schroder rumored in trade talks as they continue to seek out assets in setting themselves up for the future.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 100/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 300/1
Additions: G Ricky Rubio, F Dario Saric, C Aron Baynes, G/F Kyle Korver, F Frank Kaminsky, G Jevon Carter
Losses: F T.J. Warren, G/F Josh Jackson, F/C Richaun Holmes, G Troy Daniels, G De’Anthony Melton, G Jimmer Fredette
Draft picks: G/F Cameron Johnson, G Ty Jerome
Retained free agents: F Kelly Oubre
Remaining free agents: F Dragan Bender, G Jamal Crawford, F Ray Spalding
Analysis: Monty Williams takes over a revamped roster that adds the first true pass-first point guard he’s ever played with in Rubio, who will be his best backcourt mate since Eric Bledsoe. Last year’s top pick Deandre Ayton, will have a number of new guys around him up front, so look for the Suns to be better than they were a season ago. Re-signing Oubre, who really produced after coming over from Washington, was the top priority and got done after some haggling. Korver will be bought out, freeing up more cap room, but Phoenix can use some veteran shooters and another big to lend depth.
Portland Trail Blazers
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 30/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/6): 30/1
Additions: C Hassan Whiteside, G Kent Bazemore, G/F Mario Hezonja, F Anthony Tolliver
Losses: C Enes Kanter, F Al-Farouq Aminu, F Mo Harkless, G/F Evan Turner, F/C Meyers Leonard, F Jake Layman
Draft picks: F Nassir Little
Retained free agents: G Rodney Hood
Remaining free agents: None
Analysis: Jusuf Nurkic’s successful return from a leg injury will dictate whether the Blazers will be a serious contender in the loaded West. They’ve added Whiteside as an insurance policy, potentially giving them a productive pair of pick-and-roll partners for Lillard and McCollum. Hood returning after emerging as the team’s top weapon off the bench provides some continuity for a bench group that lost a number of components they’ll hope to replace through Bazemore, Hezonja and Tolliver. It would certainly aid the cause if Anfernee Simons and Gary Trent, Jr., lightly used as rookies, can have more of an impact.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 100/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 80/1
Additions: F Trevor Ariza, C Dewayne Dedmon, F/C Richaun Holmes, G Cory Joseph
Losses: F/C Willie Cauley-Stein, G Alec Burks, G Frank Mason
Draft picks: G Justin James, G Kyle Guy, G Vanja Marinkovic
Retained free agents: F Harrison Barnes, G Yogi Ferrell
Remaining free agents: C Kosta Koufos, G/F Corey Brewer
Analysis: Luke Walton has a chance to hit the ground running and lead the Kings to the playoffs. De’Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley have another level to get to that they’re approaching, while the arrival of a Ariza as a versatile frontcourt piece who can be the Kings’ top defender should be an effective tweak. Dedmon and Holmes will each get a turn alongside Bagley and offer different strengths. Sacramento has a solid two-deep at every position and has a realistic chance to end a playoff drought dating back to 2006.
San Antonio Spurs
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 60/1 | Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 50/1
Additions: F DeMarre Carroll, F Trey Lyles
Losses: F Davis Bertans, G/F Quincy Pondexter, F/C Donatas Motiejunas
Draft picks: F Luka Samanic, G/F Keldon Johnson, G Quinndary Weatherspoon
Retained free agents: F Rudy Gay
Remaining free agents: F Dante Cunningham
Analysis: Getting Dejounte Murray back from a torn ACL will provide the biggest boost for the Spurs, who added a versatile defender in Carroll in addition to intriguing value picks Samanic and Johnson. The roster that overachieved last season will be tasked with doing so again, building effective lineups around LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan. If Murray picks up where he left off and Derrick White and Bryn Forbes continue progressing, San Antonio’s streak of reaching the postseason should get to 23 years.
Pre-free agency ’19-’20 odds: 20/1 |Post-July 1 ’19-’20 odds (updated 7/11): 14/1
Additions: G Mike Conley, G/F Bojan Bogdanovic, F/C Ed Davis, F Jeff Green, G Emmanuel Mudiay
Losses: F Derrick Favors, G Ricky Rubio, F Jae Crowder, G/F Kyle Korver, G Grayson Allen, G Raul Neto
Draft picks: G Jarrell Brantley, G Justin Wright-Foreman, G Miye Oni
Retained free agents: None
Remaining free agents: F/G Thabo Sefolosha, C Ekpe Udoh
Analysis: The arrival of Conley and Bogdanovic should help keep the offense from bogging down as often as it did last season. Alleviating some of the burden from Donovan Mitchell and Joe Ingles is going to keep those guys fresher for the postseason, while adding athletes Davis, Green and Mudiay to produce off the bench should also yield improvement. Both L.A. teams will get more attention and the Warriors and Rockets will remain in the spotlight, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Jazz emerge as the best team in the West given the roster improvement.