NFL-Week 11-Sunday football-Games betting preview

Titans at Colts (-3, 53 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Tennessee
Record: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 8-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

The AFC South race is still wide-open at the halfway point as Tennessee has played its way back into the pack. The Titans eclipsed the 35-point mark for the third straight week in last Sunday’s 47-25 home rout of the Packers as three-point underdogs. Tennessee keeps cashing OVER tickets on a consistent basis by hitting the OVER in seven consecutive games, including three in a row away from Nissan Stadium. The Titans have struggled against the Colts over the years by losing 10 straight meetings, including a 34-26 home defeat last month.

Indianapolis
Record: 4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS, 7-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 50/1

The Colts are fresh off the bye week as Indianapolis held off Green Bay in its last contest, 31-26 as 7 ½-point underdogs. Indianapolis has yet to win back-to-back games this season, as two of its losses off a victory are by three points apiece to division foes Jacksonville and Houston. The Colts own a 2-1 SU/ATS record as a home favorite, one season after going 2-4 ATS when laying points at Lucas Oil Stadium. This is the fourth home total of 50 or higher this season for the Colts, as the UNDER is 2-1 in those contests.

Best Bet: Indianapolis -3

Cardinals at Vikings (-2 ½, 40) – 1:00 PM EST

Arizona
Record: 4-4-1 SU, 3-6 ATS, 6-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 25/1

The Cardinals are one season removed from an NFC championship appearance as Arizona sits at .500 after nine games. Arizona edged San Francisco last week with a last-second field goal but failed to cover as 13 ½-point home favorites in a 23-20 victory. The Cardinals play five of their final seven games away from University of Phoenix Stadium as Arizona owns a 1-2 SU/ATS road mark with that lone win over the woeful 49ers. Arizona has dropped eight straight road matchups with Minnesota, while making its first trip to the Twin Cities since a 21-14 loss back in 2012.

Minnesota
Record: 5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 6-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 35/1

The Vikings were in the discussion of receiving home-field advantage after a 5-0 start. However, Minnesota may be left out of the playoffs if it doesn’t get on track and snap its current four-game losing streak. The latest tumble by Minnesota happened in Washington last Sunday as the Vikings fell short in a 26-20 defeat to the Vikings. During this four-game skid, Minnesota has averaged 14 points per game, while losing three times in the favorite role. The Vikings are laying points this week as Minnesota has compiled an 8-2 ATS record as a home favorite since the start of the 2015 season.

Best Bet: Minnesota -2 ½

Bills at Bengals (-2 ½, 47 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Buffalo
Record: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS, 7-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 125/1

Which Bills team will show up this week in Cincinnati? The one that won four straight games, including a shutout of the Patriots or the one that has lost three in a row? Buffalo has scored exactly 25 points in three consecutive contests (which is nearly impossible to do), but has allowed at least four touchdowns in each of those losses to Miami, New England, and Seattle. The Bills are in the midst of a five-game OVER streak, including three straight OVERS away from Buffalo.

Cincinnati
Record: 3-5-1 SU, 3-6 ATS, 5-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 65/1

Amazingly, the Bengals still have a shot at winning the AFC North title in spite of going 1-3-1 in the last five games. Cincinnati hosts Pittsburgh and Baltimore in December, while traveling to Cleveland in three weeks. The Bengals were tripped up on Monday night by the Giants, 21-20 as Cincinnati has been held to fewer than 20 points in all five losses this season. Cincinnati owns a 2-1 SU/ATS mark at Paul Brown Stadium, while winning eight of its past 11 times in the role of a home favorite since 2015.

Best Bet: Cincinnati -2 ½

Ravens at Cowboys (-7 ½, 45) – 1:00 PM EST

Baltimore
Record: 5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS, 5-3-1 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 35/1

The Ravens have rebounded from a four-game skid to win back-to-back home divisional games against Pittsburgh and Cleveland. Baltimore has allowed 20 points or less in all five wins this season, while looking to go above .500 on the highway after losing its past two road contests to the Giants and Jets. The Ravens have lost five of their past six games against NFC foes, including an 0-2 SU/ATS mark this season in interconference action. Baltimore has never lost to Dallas in four lifetime matchups, including a 33-24 triumph to close out Cowboys Stadium in 2008.

Dallas
Record: 8-1 SU, 8-1 ATS, 5-4 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 5/1

The Cowboys will continue to keep rolling with rookie Dak Prescott at quarterback after Dallas edged Pittsburgh, 35-30 to win and cover its eighth consecutive game. Fellow rookie star Ezekiel Elliott busted the 100-yard mark for the fifth time in the last seven games with 114 yards, including the game-winning 32-yard touchdown scamper in the final seconds. Dallas has not been favored by more than 6 ½ points at home this season, but the Cowboys have cashed in three straight home games since losing the opener to the Giants. There has not been a look-ahead factor for Dallas prior to its annual Thanksgiving matchup, as the Cowboys have won 11 consecutive years in the final game before Turkey Day (6-5 ATS).

Best Bet: Baltimore +7 ½

Dolphins (-1 ½) at Rams – 4:05 PM EST

Miami
Record: 5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 6-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

The Dolphins remained out west following its 31-24 comeback victory over the Chargers last Sunday to win their fourth straight game. Miami topped the 27-point mark for the fourth consecutive week as the Dolphins haven’t won a game this season when scoring 24 points or less. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill hasn’t thrown an interception in the last four games, even though he hasn’t eclipsed the 260-yard mark passing. The Dolphins are listed as a road favorite for the first time since Week 2 of last season in a 23-20 defeat at Jacksonville as six-point chalk.

Los Angeles
Record: 4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS, 6-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 200/1

The Rams finally pulled the plug on quarterback Case Keenum and are turning to top pick Jared Goff to revive an offense that ranks last in the league in points per game at 15.4. Los Angeles is coming off its second win this season in which they didn’t reach the end zone, knocking off the Jets, 9-6 as one-point favorites. The Rams are looking for their first home victory since Week 2 against Seattle, as Los Angeles has scored 10 points or less in five games this season.

Best Bet: Los Angeles +1 ½

Eagles at Seahawks (-6 ½, 50) – 4:25 PM EST

Philadelphia
Record: 5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 75/1

The Eagles have had their share of problems on the road this season by losing four of five games away from Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia climbed above the .500 mark in last Sunday’s 24-15 home victory over Atlanta, but remains three games behind Dallas in the NFC East. In their past two road losses, the Eagles have lost by six points to the Cowboys and five points to the Giants, while not dropping a game by more than a touchdown this season.

Seattle
Record: 6-2-1 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 8/1

The Seahawks’ offense is kicking into high gear by scoring 31 points in each of their last two victories against the Bills and Patriots. Seattle picked up a morsel of revenge for its Super Bowl loss two years ago against New England by holding off the Patriots, 31-24 as 7 ½-point underdogs. Russell Wilson put together his best game of the season by throwing for 348 yards and three touchdowns, while picking up its second cover as an underdog this season. Seattle has won all four games at CenturyLink Field, but the Seahawks are 2-2 ATS at home.

Best Bet: Philadelphia +6 ½

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