NFL Sunday play offs 01/11/2015 – Cowboys at Packers preview and prediction

The Packers were undefeated at home, posting a 6-2 record against the football point spread and scoring 30 or more points on seven different occasions. The highlight, we guess, was 50 points back-to-back against Chicago and Philadelphia. And you will never find a better overall performance on a home field than quarterback Aaron Rodgers put in this season. The Packers take all of that and more into their NFC Divisional Round matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, beginning at 1:05 PM ET at Lambeau Field.

Rodgers, who could be on his way to another Most Valuable Player award, had 25 touchdown passes at home this year, without even throwing an interception. His quarterback rating at Lambeau Field was 133.2. That’s not too far from being perfect. Currently he is dealing with a calf injury, but getting the extra rest from Green Bay’s bye week really helps his cause. And speaking of bye weeks, Green Bay was a different team after getting throttled at New Orleans 44-23 at the midway point, and before going into a week of rest. When they came out, they came out swinging, scoring 108 points in those games against the Bears and Eagles, losing only at Buffalo to arguably the league’s nastiest defense during the second half of the campaign.

Dallas does not have that kind of defense, so Rodgers, even if he is not 100%, will have room to operate. Actually, the Packers have shown improvement on both sides of the football during the last eight games of the year, so they can make an argument that they belong right alongside Seattle as the best team coming down the stretch.

Green Bay’s offensive line really did the job over the last eight games, allowing their quarterback to be sacked only nine times. That is something very important to take note of, considering that Rodgers has often had to run for his life in the past. He can’t be forced to do that in this game. That’s why the Packers are fortunate to have running back Eddie Lacy available, because with his 1139 yards (4.6 per carry), he provides the balance that is necessary for this team to do business through the air. And when they do that, they have a pair of wide receivers in Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb who have combined for over 2600 yards. Plus, Green Bay turned the ball over only 13 times, so they won’t be giving Dallas many cheap opportunities. That’s critical, because the Cowboys have forced 31 turnovers in this year.

NFL PLAYOFF releases 01/11/15
Dallas Cowboys -vs- Green Bay Packers   1:05 PM (EST)
release: Green Bay Packers  ML
odds: -230
wager: 9.2u $

 

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