NFL 2010 Flashback

DENVER BRONCOS (1-2) @ TENNESSEE TITANS (2-1)-6.5/41.5

Wage: Broncos +6.5

Wage: Broncos +13.5 to the under 48.5 in a 2 play 7 point teaser

Wage: Broncos +19.5 to the over 28 in a 13.5 point teaser (Must add 2 additional plays for 13.5 point teaser)

Coach Josh Mc Daniel’s Bucking Broncos are playing on the road this week verse the talented Titans at Adelphia Stadium on grass.

Coming off an explosive week with a career-high 476 passing yards, Denver’s veteran QB, Kyle Orton is feeling revived and is obviously connecting with his offensive weapons such as veteran WR Brandon Lloyd who ranks second in the league with 339 receiving yards. The Broncos’ passing game has been explosive this year, racking up a league-leading 350 yards per game with the first ranked passing offense.

However the Broncos struggle to run the ball with a despicable 30th ranked rushing yards a game offense, with an overall 2nd ranked offense in total yards a game.

The Titans have a top tier Defense with a better rushing defense ranked 17th allowing only 116.3 yards a game; however, the titans 7th ranked total defensive yards a game at 294.7 is going to get an offensive firecracker as an opponent imploding in their face and on the field.

Denver Broncos enter this week with one win and two losses thus far in the regular season.  With the only win vs. Pete Carole’s swift Seahawks at home as a -3.5 home favorite, where its tough for any non mountainous region team like Seattle to adjust to the steep altitude change as the Mile High Stadium geographical location is a major factor for teams to play who are not accustomed to the 5,400 feet above sea level elevation as the air is significantly thinner and hard to adjust to at the level of intensity these games are played.

But home field is not an advantage for these Brazen Broncos as they enter week 4

Looking for their first win on the road as a +6.5 road underdog.   The Broncos have yet to cover ATS this season as an underdog, as they lost at home as a +6 home dog against the prestigious colts.  They failed to cover ATS on the road vs. the Jags as a +3 road dog.    Denver will take advantage of an inconsistent Titans team this week, keeping this game close.

Look for the score to be within a field goal as the Broncos high-octane offense will be busy making explosive plays, continuing in the wake of the tempo from the Colts game, where they seemed to be finally clicking.  Indianapolis lost the offensive yardage battle to Denver 519-365 yards, last week.  Denver had more first downs as that total ended up 23-18.

The Titans are coming off a huge win as +3 road dog vs. a paltry Giants team. New York outgained Tennessee 471-271 yards in the game, while the battle of first downs was won 26-17 by the Giants.

Not only are the Broncos Stronger offensively compared to the Titans defensive statistically; but the Broncos surprisingly are explosive on the defensive side of the game as well.  Broncos have the 18th ranked defense allowing 334.3 total yards a game, with a 23rd ranked passing defense allowing 240 passing yards a game, which wont bode well for the Titans 30th ranked offensive passing yards a game.

When handicapping any Titan opponent, the golden question is always the same, “can this team stop Titans work horse RB Chris Johnson”?  And in this match up the answer is “Yes”, as the broncos defense does significantly better against the run then they do the pass.

Know “show” Moreno will be a significant injury for the offensive non-existent Broncos running game.  Eddie Royal should be a special teams adjustment as he will be the punt returner.

Broncos coach Josh McDaniel’s is 3-0 in the month of October.

This matchup has all the trimmings for a potential “upset of the week”.  The global odds makers have been generous with this line giving +6.5 points to the Broncos.  Use this number to your advantage in a parlay, with 2-8 other plays, and in a teaser adding any where from 7,10, to 13.5 points to this total to secure a more comfortable line to wage on.

The Titans average 26 points per game on offense and 14 points per game on defense.  The Broncos average 20.3 points per game on offense to 21.7 points per game on defense.

Tease the over/under of 41.5 down to 28 and take the over.

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