World Series Game 6 (FOX, 8:05 p.m. ET)
Astros lead series 3-2
There is no question that this 2017 World Series will go down as one of the best matchups ever regardless of who ends up winning it all as the drama in every game so far has been through the roof. Many thought the Astros and Dodgers couldn’t be able to top the wild Game 2 they had with five extra innings HR’s, but Game 5 definitely topped it with all the twists and turns it had.
Houston’s 13-12 victory will go down as one of the best World Series games ever for those who love to see offensive baseball – whether the balls are juiced or not – and now Houston gets a chance to close things out in Game 6 with their prized stud 11th hour acquisition Justin Verlander on the hill.
Will Houston win the franchise’s first ever championship or will these L.A Dodgers force a Game 7?
Sportsbetting.ag Odds: Houston (+105), L.A Dodgers (-115); Total set at 8
After suffering the loss in a historic Game 5, Dodgers OF Yasiel Puig made it known to reporters that he was guaranteeing there would be a Game 7 in this series. Whether or not that ends up being the case, you’ve got to admire Puig’s brash confidence minutes after losing a wild Game 5, but with Verlander on the hill it will be tough.
With how dominant Justin Verlander has been in the postseason, he and the Astros definitely deserve to be laying a few cents here, but the Dodgers as a small home favorite in the ultimate “must win” spot will surely get support.
Yet, I’m not looking to make a play on the ML for Game 6 as there is no question it could go either way. If you have series futures bets pending from any other point in this series, stepping out and hedging your wagers is an option depending on who you’ve got already in your pocket. Personally, I liked and took Houston before the World Series began and while the hedging is available too me here, I’m going to let it ride for at least Game 6 and reassess should Puig’s claim come true and we get a Game 7.
What I am looking to make a play on for Game 6 is on the total. The last thing everyone remembers about this series is how many HR balls we had in Game 5 – and the entire series quite frankly – and with both bullpens overexposed and taxed, expecting a lot of runs will be a common refrain here.
However, with Verlander and Rich Hill – who many debated was pulled way too early in Game 2 – on the hill, and both bullpens needing some rest, I expect both of these starters to live up to their managers wishes and pitch deep into the game. Nothing more needs to be said about how good Verlander has been, but after Dodgers manager Dave Roberts took some heat for pulling Hill early in Game 2 to try and let his bullpen bring the game home, I don’t think Roberts will make the same mistake again here, especially after basically his entire bullpen was used on Sunday night.
Secondly, no matter who was going to be on the rubber for this one, I’d have a tough time believing both offenses will shoot off as many fireworks as they did in Game 5. For one, it’s a potential elimination game with a world championship on the line, and the series shifts back to pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium with last week’s heat wave now moved on.
The pressure of the moment, the likelihood of some major offensive regression after Game 5, and the fact that we’ve got pitchers hitting in the order again all are boons to an ‘under’ play here.
Houston is on a 0-3-1 O/U run after scoring 5+ runs in their last outing and 8-19-3 O/U when facing a team that put up 5+ in their previous game. L.A has a 0-3-2 O/U run going in these playoffs following a day off and 1-4-1 O/U after scoring 5+ runs themselves last time out.
With umpire Dan Iassongna calling balls and strikes for this critical game,and his 1-3 O/U record in interleague affairs this year, and his 80-102-10 O/U mark behind the dish over the past five years, look for this game to be another instant classic for the 2017 World Series with the pitchers taking center stage and mowing down these flaming hot offenses with relative ease.