Sunday, July 1
The Rangers will host the White Sox, with Cole Hamels taking the ball. He is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA with a .268 opponent batting average with 14 homers allowed in 49 innings. On the road he is 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA and .203 opponent average across eight road outings. Perhaps he’ll be able to get well against the White Sox, as they’re just 12-26 on the road with a minus-105 run differential, fourth-worst in the majors.
The Red Sox and Yankees wrap up their rivalry series under the lights and on national television. Shocking, as this might be the first time these teams have played on ESPN, right?
David Price will be on the hill for the Red Sox looking to avenge an early-season ripping from the Bronx Bombers. Price was tagged for four earned runs, three hits and two walks in just one inning of work in a loss at Fenway against the Yankees on April 11. He has been much better lately, however, winning seven of his past eight decisions while going 4-1 with a 2.90 ERA in five outings in June, all quality starts. The Yankees counter with Luis Severino, who brings a 12-2 record, 2.10 ERA and .201 opponent batting average into the game. He also has 132 strikeouts over just 111 2/3 innings across 17 starts. He has been money at home, going 7-0 with a 1.83 ERA with 69 strikeouts over 59 innings across nine starts with a .187 opponent batting average. However, he is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in two outings against the BoSox this season, lasting just 11 total innings while Boston is hitting .298 against him.
Andrew Benintendi has been Severino’s kryptonite, going 9-for-19 (.474) with two doubles, a triple, two homers and 10 RBI with a 1.524 OPS. Mookie Betts is also 7-for-22 (.318) with three doubles and two RBI with an .855 OPS. Price has struggled against Didi Gregorius, as he is 12-for-28 (.429) with two doubles, a homer, five RBI and a 1.055 OPS. The good news for Price is that Gary Sanchez is sidelined with a Grade I groin strain, as the backstop has five homers in just 12 career at-bats against Price. Giancarlo Stanton hasn’t seen much of the veteran southpaw, but he is 4-for-11 (.364) with a double, a triple and three RBI.
The weather on Canada Day will be HOT with a capital H. In Baltimore, temperatures will be in the mid- to upper-90s with heat indices in triple digits. The temperatures will be the same in Cincinnati, and there is a 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms which might interrupt the start of the ball game. It won’t last long enough for a postponement, however. The Nationals-Phillies, Braves-Cards and Twins-Cubs will all be playing during the daytime, and they’ll each be dealing with mid-90’s temperatures and heat indices in triple digits.
In Arlington, the wind will be blowing in for a second straight day. It will be a hot wind gusting from 13-16 mph from right field to home plate. It will be much more temperate in Oakland, and the winds will be blowing out from 11-15 mph to the right-center field power alley for the Indians-Athletics.
SU PLAY-AGAINST TREND OF THE DAY:
— The Nationals are 0-7 SU as a road favorite in the last game of a series when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. The Nats lost every game by multiple runs and they were an average of minus 137.
HITTER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
— The White Sox are 0-17 SU as a road dog of more than 130 after a game in which Leury Garcia was hitless in at least three at bats.
STARTER-BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
— The Yankees are 21-0 SU with Luis Severino as a favorite of more than 130 when they scored first in his last start.
MONSTER ROI TREND OF THE DAY:
— The Rockies are 11-0 SU as a road 140+ dog after they held a multiple-run lead.
MONSTER MARGIN TREND OF THE DAY:
— The Cubs are 7-0 OU as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not a series opener. Chicago has gone over the total by an average of 7.93 rpg.