Hottest team: Angels (6-0 past six games, 12-4 past 16 overall)
The Angels have had tremendous injury difficulties, including the loss of All-Star OF Mike Trout for an extended period. However, they have persevered, and now find themselves right in the mix for a wild-card spot thanks to a six-game winning streak. Now, they’ll head east to face a Nationals club missing its biggest star, OF Bryce Harper (knee). The Halos have won 35 of their past 52 against National League East teams, and they’re 6-1 over their past seven against left-handed starting pitchers. They have also posted a 5-0 mark over their past five road outings vs. LHP. The Nationals have won four of the past five by Gio Gonzalez, but they’re 0-4 over his past four interleague outings. The Nats are also 2-5 over Gio’s past seven home outings.
Coldest team: Rays (0-4 past four games, 2-8 past 10 overall)
The Rays were in the mix for a playoff spot, but they have done a slow burn down the American League standings. They’re not done yet, but they’re also not playing very well. They need to pick on the dregs of the league, but they’re just 2-6 over their past eight against teams with a losing overall record. They have also dropped six of their past seven within the division while going 3-7 over Blake Snell’s past 10 starts. The Rays also haven’t handled their business against right-handed pitchers, going 0-4 over the past four outings. Tampa Bay is 2-6 over their past eight against Toronto, too, and 1-4 in their past five in Toronto. If the Rays have anything going for them, though, it’s that they’re facing Marco Estrada. The Jays are 0-7 in Estrada’s past seven starts vs. Tampa.
Hottest pitcher: Gio Gonzalez, Nationals (10-5, 2.59 ERA)
Gonzalez dominated his past two outings against the Marlins, but now he’ll be tasked with facing one of the hottest teams in baseball, the Angels. Gonzalez has managed 138 strikeouts over 149 1/3 innings while posting an impressive .209 opponent batting average and 1.14 WHIP. The Nationals have rattled off wins in four of Gonzalez’s past five starts, while going 5-1 over his past six at home against teams with a winning overallrecord. They’re also 12-5 across their past 17 games after a day off. They’re also 7-2 in Gonzalez’s past nine outings against a team with a winning record.
Coldest pitcher: Rick Porcello, Red Sox (6-14, 4.63 ERA)
Porcello has started to trend in the right direction lately, but he is still allowing way too many homers. He has served up 28 home runs through 151 2/3 innings to tie for fourth-most in the majors, and he has the most among all starting pitchers working on Tuesday. Working at home has been a problem, as he is 4-8 with a 5.24 ERA across 13 starts at Fenway Park while opponents are hitting .306 against him across just 79 innings. He’ll get a crack at the Cardinals, a team playing very well of late. St. Louis has won eight of their past nine outings. The good news is that the Red Sox are 8-0 over Porcello’s past eight interleague starts, 4-0 in his past four starts with five days of rest and 20-9 over his past 29 at Fenway.
Biggest UNDER run: Indians (8-1-2 past 11 overall)
The Indians continue to thump the under lately, posting an 8-1-2 record over their past 11 outings. The under is also 5-0-1 in their past six against a right-handed starting pitcher, while going 32-15-6 across their past 53 road outings. For Cleveland, the under is 37-18-4 in their past 59 against a team with a winning record, as they continue to score few runs on offense while their pitchers allow even less. The under is also 4-1 in Danny Salazar’s past five overall while hitting in four of the past five against a team with a winning record. The under is also 25-10-3 in the past 38 games for the Indians inside the division.
Biggest OVER run: Cardinals (8-0 past eight overall)
The ‘over’ has connected in eight consecutive outings for the Cards, while going 7-0 across their past seven against a right-handed starting pitcher. In addition, the over is an impressive 11-1 over their past 12 interleague games vs. RHP. The over is 12-3-1 in their past 16 interleague road starts while going 12-2 in their past 14 against American League opponents. The under is 7-1 in Mike Leake’s past eight starts with five days of rest, while going 8-1-1 across the past 10 starts in the first game of a new series. The Red Sox have been cooperating with the over lately, too, going 3-1-1 in their past five while hitting in each of Porcello’s past seven outings working on five days of rest.
Matchup to watch: Yankees vs. Mets
The Mets turn to Jacob deGrom looking to keep the Yankees down, going 9-2 over his past 11 starts. The Mets are also an impressive 4-1 over his past five outings against American League clubs while going 6-2 over his past eight while recording a quality start in his last appearance. The Yankees look to stay hot, especially in interleague play. The Bronx Bombers have posted an 8-2 mark in their past 10 interleague games against a team with a losing record, 4-1 in their past five interleague games and 9-3 in their past 12 against NL East foes. The Yankees are also an impressive 47-22 in their past 69 interleague home outings against a team with a losing overall record. The Mets have posted just two wins in their past seven tries against their Big Apple rivals, while the ‘over’ is 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings at ‘The Stadium’.