ATS NFL Analysis – #12

So once again im 1-0 going into sunday as the Dirty Birds came to play thursday night and broke the spread wide open too bad shard that spread was way too high!! Now to the rest of the weekly matchups

Rams -1 1/2 Bears…..A tale of 2 teams right now as the Bears have been playing really bad lately with out Cutler at the helm while the rams seem to be click with their back up after spanking the Cols 2 weeks ago and they come off their bye for home game give the pts take the Rams…Austin the x factor.

Panthers -4 1/2 Fish….Not buying the whole trap game thing at all so the fish finally lost their huge losing streak just dont have good enought O-line to stop anyone right now especially kiekly and Carolina so give the pts.

Chiefs -4 1/2 Boltz….Been riding with the Super Chargers for last couple of weeks and they have struggled big time especially on the offensive side of things not good as the #2 D comes calling give the pts and take the hungry KC.

Texans -10 1/2 Jaguars….Houston should win this one but than again u dont know what u will be getting out very inconsisnet team and who knows if Keenum lasts the whole game after being yanked last week vs raiders take the points and Jaguars.

Packers -4 1/2 Vikings….This should be very low scoring game as both teams have struggle to stay consisent on the Offensive side of things and both D cant stop anyone leaning towards Tolzein right now as he seem the safer option at Fronzen Tundra take the Packers.

Lions -10 1/2 Buccs…In another game that has very high spread but will be lot closer than people thin as tampa looks to make it 3 in a row and Megatron will be on Reevis island so Stafford will have to look elsewhere go with the Buccs and the points.

Browns -1 1/2 Steelers….This game shoud be old school AFC north game of low scoring and field possesion so trusting Big Ben in this one as he will have more time to find open guys like the x factor Jericho Cotchery. Steelers win on the road.

Ravens -4 1/2 Jets…..In the ugly game of the week dont bet and avoid at all costs im taking the Jets in this one as both teams are too up and down and will come down to a fg with either team could pull it off.

Raiders -1 1/2 Titans….Boy has Tennessee has completely fallen off the good teams radar in midst of bad losing streak and will continue on the road especially in the hardest place to play out west the Black hole Safe bet take the Raiders at home.

Cardinals -2 1/2 Colts….This has the make for the **sleeper game of the week** gonna be a very close game as both defenses have played better and luck and palmer have weapons at thier dispsosal just liking Luck’s better and they win out west. Colts in the upset.

Giants -2 1/2 Cowboys….In a do or die showdown with winner having great shot to win NFC East go with the more experinced QB in this situation and thats ELI as hes done it before led Big Blue to huge wins in month of November and by the way thats usually where Romo starts to stuggle and gonna be brutal wintery mix.

Broncos -2 1/2 Pats….Mark my words Wes Welker gets is revenge on his former employer that 2 face liar Bil Bellichak as he scores 2 td in game and probably game winner Denver wins by a TD.

Niners -4 1/2 Skins…This is a no brainer spread very genous only because they playing over in Fex Ex stadium in DC but Niners will rout RG 3 as skins already packing it in and pointing finger inside the locker room for failure of season.

Swag 5 Parlay: Panters -4 1/2, Raiders -1 1/2, Giants -2 1/2, Denver -2 1/2 and Niners -4 1/2

Best Bet: Niners -4 1/2

Upset Alerts: Steelers +1 1/2, Colts +2 1/2, Jags +10 1/2 and Buccs +10 1/2

Dont Bet: Jets +4 1/2 over Ravens

Sunday card has 6* 29-0 NFL System side + 3 early plays All from systems and angles cashing over 90% long term and the Sunday night 96% 5* system winner between Denver and New England. Saturday card cashes big with GOY winner on Ok. St and 6* Fresno. NBA 100% totals system and NCAAB also up.

On Sunday the free system play is on Miami plus the 4-5 points. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. The Dolphins have won and covered every meeting in this series. Carolina fits a couple of bounce systems here in this game off their big Monday night home win over the Patriots. We want to play against favorites of 3 or more that won 6 straight games as these teams have failed to cover 14 of 20 times since the early 70/s. The Panthers are 0-8 ats as a non division road favorite off a win and cover. Miami has covered 11 of 12 times as a non division dog of 9.5 or less. Home dogs in non division games off a home dog win have covered 22 of 33 if they are getting less than 5 points. With most of the situations favoring Miami we will look for the Dolphins to at the very least get the spread win. On Sunday end the week big with a Rare 6* 29-0 Power System Play leading a solid card that has 3 Early plays one a 5* Dominator side and the 96% Sunday night Football AFC Showdown match which is rated at 5*. We also have a Perfect NBA Totals systems and NCAAB Which have been hot. Saturday card cashes big again led by Game of the Year winner on Ok. St and 6* Fresno.

In this thread we will look at some of the interesting angles and Indicators and player info and injury updates that apply to Week 12 In the NFL In no specific order

Here we go for week 12 NFL

LINE: Cleveland opened -2 but has been bet down to -1. The total is down from 41.5 to 40.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with a 40 percent chance of snow and wind blowing across the width of the field at 17 mph.

TRENDS:

* Steelers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
* Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. AFC foes.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

LINE: Detroit opened -10 but has been bet down to -9.5. The total has held steady at 48.5.
WEATHER: N/A

TRENDS:

* Buccaneers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. teams with winning home records.
* Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
* Over is 17-8-1 in Detroit’s previous 26 games following an ATS loss.

Bucs have been favored over Lions 14 of last 15 matchups. Not today.

Any team favored week after playing Mike Tomlin’s Steelers: 13-33 against the spread. (lions) HOWEVER, Detroit: Any home team off a loss as a road favorite: 15-2 ATS

Temperature at Arrowhead is 15 degrees. High forecast to be 32. SD QB Philip Rivers has 3 career starts in temps 32 or colder and lost all three.

The Patriots are 13-0 ATS (12.65 ppg)within 3 of pick after a loss.

LINE: Green Bay opened -5 but has been bet down to -4. The total has dropped a half-point to 43.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-20s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 8 mph.

The Packers have lost back-to-back games at home and haven’t lost three straight since 2006.

TRENDS:

* Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 12.
* Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. teams with losing records.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

LINE: Houston has dropped from a -10.5 open to -10. The total is up a half-point to 43.5.
WEATHER: N/A

TRENDS:

* Jaguars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
* Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.
* Under is 10-3-1 in Jacksonville’s last 14 games vs. the AFC South.

The Houston Texans have scored just two rushing touchdowns all season

LINE: Game opened as a pick before being bet up to St. Louis -1. The total is down a half-point to 45.
WEATHER: N/A

TRENDS:

* Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. NFC opponents.
* Rams are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.

More big bet rumors

*BIG BET ALERT* Buzz is that Floyd Mayweather is dropping approx 6.5Million on Cowboys +3. Several shops + offshore accts taking his action

Dallas Cowboys are 11-2 SU and 7-6 ATS the week prior to their thanksgiving game since 2000

Since 2005 Detroit Lions are 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS the week prior to their thanksgiving game. 2-10 SU and 4-8 ATS since 2001.

LINE: Ravens have held as 3.5-point faves. The total is down one point to 39.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 16 mph.

TRENDS:

* Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight November games.
* Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on fieldturf.
* New York is 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Steelers dont seem to look ahead to Ravens. 24-3 SU and 18-8-1 (69.2%) ATS Since 2000 pre ravens. 8-1 SU & 7-1-1 (87.5%)ATS in DIV games

LINE: Chiefs opened -5 but have dropped to -4. The total is up a half-point to 42.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s under sunny skies.

TRENDS:

* Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four November games.
* Chiefs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs. the AFC West.
* Under is 13-3 in Kansas City’s last 16 home games vs. teams with losing road records.

BAD DOG: In 2013 Teams that win as Home Dogs are 4-19 SU and 5-18 (21.7%) ATS next game. However 244-421-1 SU and 288-360-18 (44.4%) since 89

GB, in division off loss: 13-1-1 ATS

(Minny played Seattle last Week)
Teams off Seattle 16-37-4 (30%) the next week (last 4 seasons)

Since Week 12 2012 team are 2-10 ATS the week after playing Saints and 3-12-1 the week after playing Seahawks.

New York Jets WR Jeremy Kerley has been ruled out of Sunday’s game against the Baltimore Ravens.

Andrew Luck is 12-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) in his career after a game where he threw between 35 and 50 passes and completed
over 45% of them.

The Baltimore Ravens have won seven-straight games SU versus the New York Jets and are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

LINE: Panthers opened at -3.5 but have been bet up to -4.5. The total is down a half-point to 41.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 40 percent chance of showers and wind blowing across the width of the field at 17 mph.

TRENDS:

* Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU win.
* Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Under is 8-2 in Carolina’s last 10 games on grass.

The Raiders are 0-14-1 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since October 13, 2002 after a game where they covered by more than six points
and allowed at least 21 points.

Home Dogs off a Monday Night Road Loss are 5-25 SU and 8-20-2 (28.6%) ATS Since 2002. Patriots

LINE: Titans opened -1.5 but have been bet down to -1. The total is set at 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies.

TRENDS:

* Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* Raiders are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. AFC foes.
* Under is 5-0 in Oakland’s last five home games vs. teams with losing road records.

LINE: The Cards opened -1 and are now -3. The total is up a half-point to 45.
WEATHER: N/A

TRENDS:

* Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
* Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
* Under is 7-2 in Indianapolis’ last nine games on grass.

LINE: Giants holding at -1. The total is down 1.5 points to 45.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with cloudy skies and wind blowing diagonally out of the northwest at 18 mph.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 12.
* Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. the NFC.
* Under is 14-2 in New York’s last 16 games following an ATS win.

Miami: Any team following a win as a home underdog: 5-23 ATS

Road team in Miami games 54-35 ATS

The Bears have not fared well ATS versus NFC opposition. They are 3-13 against the spread in the last 16 matchups versus teams within the same conference.

The Chargers are 0-10 OU (-11.05 ppg) since December 08, 2002 as a dog after a game in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.

Weather Report:

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (-1, 40)

There is a 43 percent chance of snow. Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with wind blowing across the field at 19 mph.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-4.5, 43.5)

Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph. Temperatures will be in the high-teens with partly cloudy skies.

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 39)

Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 16 mph. There is a small chance of snow with temperatures in the mid-30s.

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 42)

Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with wind blowing across the field at 5 mph.

Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins (+4.5, 41)

There is a 40 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 15 mph.

Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders (+1, 41.5)

Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 5 mph.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-1, 45)

Temperatures will be in the high-20s with wind blowing toward the SE endzone at 17 mph.

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (+1, 53.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-teens with wind blowing across the field at 15 mph.

LINE: Broncos have held at -1. The total has dropped 2.5 points to 53.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-20s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the width of the field at 15 mph.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 November games.
* Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on fieldturf.
* Broncos are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.

In Closing We hope You Enjoyed this week 11 Power Thread. Our NBA has started out fast and has cashed Big the last 2 weeks. We do well year in and year out. Rob is currently RANKED in the top 5 in Overall football selections this year as he has Cashed Big the first 11 weeks of the season in Both college and Pro football using his cutting edge systems, simulations and Industry leading data which cant be found any where else. The NBA has started out fast and Rob will be Blitzing the books again this year.

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