The Texans (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS) snapped a three-game losing streak by rallying past the Cardinals, 31-21 to cash as 2 ½-point home favorites. Houston overcame a 21-17 fourth quarter deficit by outscoring Arizona, 14-0 over the last 13 minutes thanks to a pair of touchdown runs by rookie D’Onta Foreman. However, the former University of Texas standout suffered a season-ending Achilles tendon injury on his second touchdown scamper.
Quarterback Tom Savage finally picked up a win in place of the injured Deshaun Watson as Savage threw for 230 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Houston won for the first time since knocking off Cleveland in Week 6, while moving to 4-1 to the OVER in its last five games at NRG Stadium.
The Ravens (5-5 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) have been the definition of a roller-coaster team this season as they have not won more than two in a row or lost two straight. Baltimore rebounded from a three-point setback at Tennessee prior to its bye week to blank Green Bay at Lambeau Field, 23-0 as 2 ½-point favorites. The Ravens’ defense posted its third shutout of the season, while limiting the Packers to 265 yards.
Baltimore created five takeaways, but its offense posted only 219 yards as it depended on star kicker Justin Tucker to knock in three field goals. Joe Flacco completed 22-of-28 passes for 183 yards, including a 21-yard touchdown strike to Mike Wallace early in the third quarter to put the game out of reach. Baltimore snapped a two-game road losing streak, while picking up its first victory against an NFC foe in three tries this season.
The Ravens ended a five-game OVER streak in the shutout of the Packers, as their last two games at M&T Bank Stadium have gone OVER the total. Granted, Baltimore finished OVER the total in a 27-24 overtime setback to Chicago on a 39 ½ total even though three non-offensive touchdowns were scored. Against Miami, the Ravens returned a pair of interceptions for touchdowns in the fourth quarter to barely cash the OVER of 38 in a 40-0 rout.
Houston started the season with consecutive UNDERS against Jacksonville and Cincinnati, but the Texans are currently on a 6-2 OVER run. The Texans have yielded 33 points or more in each of their past three away games, while losing twice by three points to Seattle and New England (with Watson at quarterback).
Baltimore has had two games decided by three points this season, while seven other contests have been decided by double-digits. The Ravens own a 2-2 SU/ATS record at M&T Bank Stadium, as three of the four opponents are currently under .500, while the only quality opponent Baltimore faced was Pittsburgh (who they lost 26-9).
The Texans have been a solid play this season in the underdog role by compiling a 4-2 ATS record. Houston failed to cover in its last opportunity as a ‘dog in a 33-7 trouncing by the Rams, but the Texans are 3-1 ATS away from NRG Stadium this season. Last season, Bill O’Brien’s team struggled as a ‘dog by posting a 3-6 ATS record, including a 2-6 ATS road mark.
These two AFC squads are meeting for the first time since 2014, as the home team has won five consecutive matchups. In the most recent meeting in December 2014 at NRG Stadium, the Texans built a 16-0 halftime lead in a 25-13 victory over the Ravens as 6 ½-point underdogs. Houston’s defense intercepted Flacco three times, while the Texans kicked six field goals and scored only one touchdown.
The Ravens are 4-0 at home lifetime against the Texans, while Baltimore beat Houston in 2010 the last time these teams hooked up for a Monday night affair, 34-28 with a frontdoor cover as three-point favorites on an interception return for a touchdown in overtime.
The Favorite-OVER combination has hit in six consecutive Monday night games, including in last week’s 34-31 victory by Atlanta at Seattle. Each of the past four home favorites have won by double-digits, but three OVERS have cashed on Mondays this season due to a touchdown in the final minute.
Baltimore is making its first appearance on Monday night this season as the Ravens lost at New England in Week 15 last season, 30-23. John Harbaugh’s squad is hosting a Monday night game for the first time since the season opener of 2012 as the Ravens pounded the Bengals, 44-13. Houston lost in both opportunities under the Monday night lights last season, as their last victory on a Monday came at Cincinnati as 10-point underdogs in 2015 by a 10-6 score.