Bears at Rams (-6 ½, 42 ½) – 1:00 PM EST
If it wasn’t for Denver, Chicago (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS) would be the best team in the AFC West, already beating three teams from that division. Unfortunately, the Bears play in the NFC North and this team has yet to win a game against a conference foe, going 0-5 inside the NFC.John Fox’s Bears rallied past the Chargers last Monday night, 22-19, limiting the high-powered San Diego offense to a field goal in the second half. Since Chicago was shut out at Seattle in Week 3, the Bears own a 4-1 ATS record, while Jay Cutler has thrown eight touchdowns in the last five games.
St. Louis (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) saw its modest two-game winning streak come to an end in a 21-18 overtime loss at Minnesota last Sunday. The Rams dropped to 1-3 away from the Edward Jones Dome, but Jeff Fisher’s team has been a different squad at home, winning three of four times. Since allowing 31 points to the Seahawks in the season opener, the Rams have given up a combined 24 points in the past three home contests. St. Louis is riding a four-game ‘under’ streak, but it doesn’t help that this team is currently ranked in the league in passing yards per game at 177.
Saints at Redskins (PK, 50) – 1:00 PM EST
There aren’t many excusable losses in the NFL, but New Orleans (4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) suffered a potentially crippling defeat from a playoff perspective in last Sunday’s 34-28 overtime setback to Tennessee. The Saints had won their previous three games to pull to .500, but lost at home for the second time this season to a team that owned a 2-14 record in 2014. Sean Payton’s club is not listed as a road underdog for the first time in 2015, compiling a 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS mark away from the Superdome. The Saints have cashed the ‘over’ in three of four road games, but the lone ‘under’ came with a 52 ½ total at Indianapolis in a 27-21 win in Week 7.
The Redskins (4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) showed a bit of promise early in the season, splitting their first four games. However, Washington has stumbled to a 1-3 SU/ATS mark the past four contests, with all three defeats coming away from FedEx Field. The Patriots steamrolled the Redskins last Sunday at Gillette Stadium, 27-10 as 13 ½-point favorites, the fourth straight game that Washington has been outgained from a yardage standpoint. The only positive that Jay Gruden’s team can point to heading into Sunday is the 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS mark at home, while covering in each of the past four meetings with the Saints dating back to 2006.
Dolphins at Eagles (-6, 49 ½) – 1:00 PM EST
It’s been a roller-coaster ride for Miami (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) since the removal of Joe Philbin as head coach following the team’s blowout loss to the Jets in London. The Dolphins dominated the Titans and Texans to reach the .500 mark, but were humbled by the Patriots and Bills by double-digits to fall to 0-4 inside the AFC East. Now, Miami will look for its second win against an NFC East opponent after rallying past Washington in the season opener, but the Dolphins have picked up just two victories in seven tries on the road in interconference play since Ryan Tannehill became the team’s quarterback in 2012.
The NFC East race has been an ugly one so far as the Eagles and Giants are fighting it out for the top spot. Philadelphia (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) goes for consecutive wins for the second time this season on Sunday after holding off Dallas in overtime, 33-27 to cash as three-point road favorites. Following a 1-3 start, Chip Kelly’s team has won three of four, including back-to-back home blowouts over the Saints and Giants to improve to 7-3 ATS in the past 10 tries as a home favorite.
Vikings at Raiders (-3, 44) – 4:05 PM EST
Through eight games, the NFC North has turned into one of the best races in the league with Green Bay and Minnesota (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS) tied atop the division. The Vikings have put together the second-best ATS mark in the league behind Cincinnati with the only ATS defeat coming in the season opener at San Francisco. Mike Zimmer’s defense has allowed 20 points or less in seven of eight games, resulting in seven ‘unders,’ while the Vikings have gone ‘under’ in nine of the past 12 road contests. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is listed as probable after suffering a concussion in last Sunday’s overtime win over the Rams.
Oakland (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) is in the middle of the AFC Wild Card race but fell short in a 38-35 setback at Pittsburgh in Week 9 as six-point underdogs. The Raiders managed to grab the cover in spite of falling behind, 35-21 in the fourth quarter, topping the 34-point mark in their third straight game. Oakland is listed as a favorite for the first time at home this season, posting a 2-2 SU/ATS record at the Black Hole as an underdog. How long has it been since the Raiders were last a home favorite? Week 9 of the 2013 season against the Eagles, as the Raiders were dominated, 49-20 as one-point chalk.
Patriots (-7 ½, 54 ½) at Giants – 4:25 PM EST
Only two undefeated teams remain in the AFC, as New England (8-0 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) goes for its first 9-0 start since 2007. That season the Patriots finished the regular season undefeated and eventually lost to the Giants in the Super Bowl. Four seasons later, New York beat New England twice, including a 21-17 triumph in Super Bowl XLVI as three-point underdogs. The last time the Patriots beat the Giants came back in the 16-0 run of 2007 in the season finale, 38-35, but no one expected these teams to hook up again in the epic finish of Super Bowl XLII.
New York (5-4 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) is barely holding onto to the top spot in the NFC East, owning a half-game lead over Philadelphia heading into Week 10. Tom Coughlin’s team have alternated wins and losses in each of the past five games, coming off a 32-18 victory at Tampa Bay, in spite of getting outgained in the yardage department for the fourth straight contest. New York has won three consecutive home contests, but the G-Men are 1-5 ATS in its past six opportunities as an underdog at Met Life Stadium since 2013.